What are the market scenarios?
The five scenarios that adjust hourly-rate decline, depreciation, and operating costs.
Each scenario applies a different assumption for how GPU hourly rates decline each year, along with matching adjustments to depreciation and operating costs.
| Scenario | Hourly rate decline | Character |
|---|---|---|
| Severe Decline | 25% per year | Rapid price compression and faster hardware turnover. |
| Challenging | 18% per year | Competitive market pressure with moderate demand reduction. |
| Steady (default) | 15% per year | Balanced conditions with consistent moderate growth. |
| Favorable | 12% per year | Accelerating demand and sustainable premium pricing. |
| Exceptional | 8% per year | Demand far exceeding supply for a limited period. |
The Steady scenario is the baseline used for the Steady Market IRR shown on deal pages. IRR Uncertainty in the same settings card widens or narrows the range around the headline figure.
Scenarios are illustrative assumptions for comparison, not forecasts.
How is this guide?
Zuletzt aktualisiert